The workforce

The $18/hr adjuster problem: why claims is becoming a disappearing profession

Entry pay now competes with fast food while inventories climb and the profession shrinks. Treated as a pure cost center, the claims desk is losing the people whose judgment keeps loss ratios in check.

Tiago Brígido
Tiago BrígidoCo-Founder & COO, Mysa6 min read

Claims pay has stopped keeping up with claims work. Entry roles now advertise near fast-food wages while inventories climb, and the U.S. government projects the profession to shrink. Treated as a cost center rather than the place loss ratios are won or lost, the desk is quietly losing its most valuable people.

A job that decides who pays for a car crash now starts around $18 an hour. That is not a complaint; it is a market signal. When the entry wage for adjudicating a five-figure liability claim lands next to the entry wage for a shift at the counter, the industry has already told you how it values the work — and the work product follows the pay. The strange part is that claims is exactly where the loss ratio is won or lost, so squeezing it is one of the few places a carrier can save a few dollars and lose many more.

$18/hrwhere entry claims-adjuster pay now often starts
−5%projected change in the profession, 2024–2034 (BLS)
100%of the ~21,600 annual openings are replacement, not growth
The signal

The market already told you what it thinks

Entry adjuster pay barely clears the retail counter and the restaurant floor.

The role that assesses damage, reads coverage, and negotiates a settlement now starts at a wage that competes with jobs requiring no license and no exposure. The federal median for the profession is higher — around $77,000 — but the entry rung, where the next generation is supposed to start climbing, sits right on top of the service economy.

Entry adjuster$18
Retail sales$16.62
Food service$14.92
Entry-adjuster starting pay (Salary.com) vs. retail and food-service medians (BLS). BLS bottom-decile for adjusters is ~$23/hr.

Pay the work like the counter and, over time, you staff it like the counter. The talent pool narrows, the experienced people leave for lines that pay for their judgment, and the files get worked by whoever is left.

The trend

A profession shrinking on purpose

Every opening is a replacement. None is growth.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics projects claims-adjuster employment to fall about 5% this decade — a decline that has deepened across successive forecasts. It still expects roughly 21,600 openings a year, but every one of them exists to backfill someone who retired or left, not to grow the field. Layer on the retirement wave — around 400,000 insurance roles projected to go unfilled as the workforce ages — and the picture is a profession managed as a cost to shrink, not a capability to build.

The mistake

This is a strategic problem, not an HR one

The dollars you save on the claims desk come back with interest.

The root cause is classification: claims books no revenue, so it gets managed as a cost to minimize rather than a function to invest in. But minimizing the claims spend and minimizing the claims cost are opposite moves. Squeeze the desk and the savings return, larger, somewhere downstream.

What squeezing the desk savesWhat it comes back as
A few dollars an hour on salaryFive to ten percent of claims paid, in leakage
A leaner training budgetFiles that take longer and reopen more often
More files per adjusterTurnover — and the experience that walks out with it
A lower expense line this quarterA worse loss ratio next year
The fix

If you can’t pay more, the only real lever is productivity

Make each experienced adjuster dramatically more productive — then pay them for judgment, not volume.

The honest answer to a wage problem is not to pay $18 an hour and hope 300-file inventories work out. It is to change what the adjuster’s hour is spent on:

  • Take the assembly work off the file — reading, extracting, chasing, coverage-checking — so it runs in minutes, not hours.
  • Give the adjuster back the part that needs a human: the decision, the negotiation, the judgment call.
  • Keep your experienced people by giving them better work instead of simply more of it.
  • Pay for judgment, because judgment is now the scarce input — and let the machine handle the volume.
The shift

Pay for judgment, not for data entry

Mysa cuts the assembly work on every file, so an adjuster’s hour is spent on the decision — the part worth paying for.

This is the shift Mysa is built for. When the assembly on a file drops from an hour or two to ten or fifteen minutes, the adjuster’s day stops being data entry and becomes the decision. The economics finally point the same way as the quality: you can keep the people worth keeping, hand them cases that are ready to decide, and pay for the judgment instead of the volume. A smaller, better-paid, better-supported desk beats a large, underpaid, overloaded one on the only number that matters — the loss ratio.

Claims is not declining because the work stopped mattering. It is declining because the pay stopped matching the work. Change what an adjuster’s hour is spent on, and that hour becomes worth paying for again.

FAQ

Common questions

How much do claims adjusters get paid?

Entry-level roles now often start around $18 an hour — close to retail (about $16.62/hr) and food service (about $14.92/hr) medians. The federal median wage for claims adjusters, examiners, and investigators is higher, roughly $77,000 a year (BLS, May 2024), but the entry rung has drifted down toward the service economy.

Is claims adjusting a declining profession?

Yes, on the official numbers. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics projects roughly a 5% decline in claims adjuster, examiner, and investigator employment from 2024 to 2034, and essentially all of the ~21,600 annual openings are replacements for people leaving rather than new growth.

How can carriers keep experienced adjusters without raising pay?

The durable lever is productivity: cut the low-value assembly work on each file so adjusters spend their time on the decision rather than data gathering. That lets carriers give experienced adjusters better work instead of simply more of it, improving retention without depending on across-the-board pay rises.

Tiago Brígido
Tiago Brígido

Tiago is Co-Founder and COO of Mysa, where he works with claims teams on how liability, subrogation, and leakage decisions actually get made — and how to keep the reasoning behind them from walking out the door.